Solar activity forecast for the period May 12 - 13, 2017


Issued: 2017 May 11 17:15 UTC


Analysis from May 10/1700 UTC to May 11/1700 UTC:

Sunspot Regions on the Disk 11/1623 UTC (SDO Continuum): 0
The Largest Event: no X-ray event
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A) May 10: A3.4
Radio Flux 10.7 cm at 10/2300 UTC (Penticton): 69
Solar Wind Speed at 11/1645 UTC: 369.6 km/s, Density: 18.4 p/cm^3


Forecast:
 
activity level will be very low
Event probabilities: Class C: 05, Class M: 01, Class X: 01, Proton: 01
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A): in the range A3.0 - A6.5
Radio Flux 10.7 cm: a fluctuation in the range 62 - 76

Tomas Blaha
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz