Solar activity forecast for the period August 14 - 15, 2017


Issued: 2017 August 13 17:15 UTC


Analysis from August 12/1700 UTC to August 13/1700 UTC:

Sunspot Regions on the Disk 13/1623 UTC (SDO Continuum): 1
The Largest Event: no X-ray event
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A) August 12: A2.7
Radio Flux 10.7 cm at 12/2300 UTC (Penticton): 70
Solar Wind Speed at 13/1645 UTC: 592.6 km/s, Density: 1.1 p/cm^3


Forecast:
 
activity level will be very low
Event probabilities: Class C: 05, Class M: 01, Class X: 01, Proton: 01
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A): in the range A2.5 - A5.0
Radio Flux 10.7 cm: a fluctuation in the range 66 - 75

Martina Exnerova
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz