Solar activity forecast for the period January 5 - 6, 2018


Issued: 2018 January 4 17:15 UTC
                         
                         
Analysis from January 03/1700 UTC to January 04/1700 UTC: 

Sunspot Regions on the Disk 04/1623 UTC (SDO Continuum): 1
The Largest Event: no X-ray event
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A) January 3: A3.1
Radio Flux 10.7 cm at 03/2300 UTC (Penticton): 71
Solar Wind Speed at 04/1645 UTC: 385.9 km/s, Density: 4.0 p/cm^3


Forecast:
 
activity level will be very low
Event probabilities: Class C: 10, Class M: 01, Class X: 01, Proton: 01
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A): in the range A2.5 - A4.5
Radio Flux 10.7 cm: a fluctuation in the range 66-75

Martina Exnerova
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz