Solar activity forecast for the period January 19 - January 20, 2021

Issued: 2021 January 18 17:00 UTC


Analysis from January 17/1700 UTC to January 18/1700 UTC:

Sunspot Regions on the Disk 18/1623 UTC (SDO Continuum): 1
The Largest Event: B1.2 from Region  at 18/0001 UT
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A) January 17: A4.3
Radio Flux 10.7 cm at 17/2300 UTC (Penticton): 78
Solar Wind Speed at 18/1645 UTC: 284.8 km/s, Density: 5.6 p/cm^3


Forecast:

activity level will be very low
Event probabilities: Class C: 10, Class M: 01, Class X: 01, Proton: 01
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A): in the range A3.0 - A4.5
Radio Flux 10.7 cm: a fluctuation in the range 75-78

Martina Pavelkova
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz